Betting Intel: 5 Picks from "Cover 3 College Football"

**1. Baylor Over 6 Wins Looks Vulnerable: Ross Predicts Max 6-Win Season Despite Bowl Path** *(41:20 - 44:40)* Garrett Ross from Bears Illustrated picks Baylor UNDER 6.5 wins as his lock, projecting a maximum of six wins in 2026 despite a favorable early schedule that could start 3-1. --- **2. Baylor Defense Line Value Play: Top-5 Big 12 Unit Anchored by Indiana Transfer Josiah Wheeler** *(36:40 - 39:40)* Aranda called Baylor's defensive line a potential top-5 Big 12 unit this spring; the Josiah Wheeler transfer from Indiana is described as 'arguably the biggest transfer addition on this roster,' creating defensive line prop betting opportunities and defensive unit over/unders. --- **3. DJ Lagway Inconsistency Warning: Gator Transfer No Clear Edge Over Sawyer Robertson in QB Comparison** *(15:20 - 20:00)* Garrett Ross suggests there's minimal difference between transfer QB DJ Lagway and outgoing starter Sawyer Robertson, warning bettors that Lagway's inconsistencies (footwork, overthrowing, forced throws) from his Florida tenure remain unresolved heading into 2026. --- **4. Baylor RB Depth Injury Concerns: Pendergrass and Knighton Both Coming Off Injuries Create Running Game Risk** *(22:20 - 24:40)* Both primary backs Dawson Pendergrass and Kaden Knighton are recovering from injuries entering 2026, with Ross warning that 'health is going to be key for this team' and RB durability betting props should factor elevated injury risk. --- **5. Linebacker Talent Drain: Loss of Keaton Thompson and Evans Signals Significant Defensive Step-Back in 2026** *(27:00 - 29:40)* Baylor loses standout LB Keaton Thompson (now at Ole Miss in 'very short list' for best duo) plus Evans and Jackson, creating a major defensive regression angle for Vegas oddsmakers to underprice Baylor defense props and team win totals.